Early Warning Intel
POCTracks public data patterns as proxy signals for existential risk, including aircraft activity, news volume, cyber exploitation, disaster alerts, space weather, medical and procurement candidates, market pressure, and benchmark alignment.
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Waiting for live data
The needle maps the aggregate 0-100 score onto a dashboard-style redline gauge. It is a situational indicator, not a prediction of an event.
Risk Source & Timing
Waiting for signal classification.
Calibration note: each source is judged mostly against its own recent behavior. A high needle should mean "this is unusually high for this source," not merely "there are many items in the feed." The risk card score is the global/systemic reading; the local or event score can be higher for severe regional hazards. Until enough recent readings exist, broad feeds are deliberately capped. NOAA severe space-weather alerts, NASA/JPL impact-risk changes, and clear biological emergency signals can drive a family higher when official source data supports it.
Why This Score?
Benchmark Check
Benchmarks are shown as outside reference points. They do not directly move the aggregate score.
Baseline Model
| Status | Observed | Expected | Deviation | Sigma | Samples | Confidence |
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Aircraft Feeds
| Signal | Status | Aircraft | With Position | Age |
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Signal Matrix
| Signal | Source | Type | Status | Score | Confidence | Trend | Independence | Details |
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Baseline History
| Time | Mode | Main Needle | Support | Aggregate | Confidence | Divergence | Health | Sources | Baseline |
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Candidate Modules
These sources are tracked as baseline, context, or benchmark candidates. They do not affect the warning score until a validated adapter and backtest exist.
| Source | Role | Status | Access | POC Use | Caveat |
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